Def. Belgrano vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
20.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
28%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
20.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
DOC
1 - 1
DEF
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
JJU
2 - 1
DEF
17%
25%
58%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | -3 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
CAD
60%
25%
16%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
DEF
16%
25%
59%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MID
2 - 3
DEF
16%
26%
58%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
LUJ
2 - 1
JJU
34%
29%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CAD
2 - 0
LUJ
71%
20%
10%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
LUJ
0 - 0
BER
52%
26%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
MID
1 - 0
LUJ
52%
26%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LAM
1 - 0
LUJ
53%
27%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |