Def. Belgrano vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
23.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 0
DEF
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 2
IRV
50%
28%
22%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
DEF
77%
17%
6%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
DEF
42%
29%
28%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
INS
43%
29%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 2
STM
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 1
GBR
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 0
SMA
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 0
GBR
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 1
SMA
29%
28%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |