Def. Belgrano vs Fénix Bs As analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 0
DEF
48%
28%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 1
SAC
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 1
PLA
40%
31%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 3
DEF
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 0
SUA
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fénix Bs As
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 1
TAL
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
FEN
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
FEN
3 - 2
SUA
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FEN
0 - 1
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
SMG
2 - 0
FEN
22%
27%
51%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -2 |