Def. Belgrano vs Fénix Bs As analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
30.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
DEF
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
SUA
24%
28%
48%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
PLA
4 - 3
DEF
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
VSC
41%
30%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 1
DEF
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fénix Bs As
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
FEN
0 - 1
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 1
FEN
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
FEN
0 - 1
RIE
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
FEN
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
FEN
1 - 0
ALM
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |