Def. Belgrano vs Fénix Bs As analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
DEF
50%
29%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
COM
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
DEF
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
SUA
38%
30%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
TEM
1 - 0
DEF
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fénix Bs As
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 1
BAR
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
PLA
2 - 0
FEN
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
FEN
1 - 2
ACA
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AND
1 - 2
FEN
47%
26%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 0
FLA
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |