Def. Belgrano vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
22.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
DEF
55%
27%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 1
TAL
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
DEF
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
STM
0 - 0
DEF
43%
28%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
ACA
48%
31%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
ALM
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
STM
0 - 1
EXC
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 2
PLA
45%
28%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 2
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
FEN
3 - 1
EXC
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |