Def. Belgrano vs CA Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
32.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 1
DEF
21%
30%
49%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 1
RAF
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
GBR
0 - 3
DEF
42%
30%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 0
CHA
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 0
DEF
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
SMA
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SUA
2 - 0
EST
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
AGR
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
INS
1 - 0
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
SAC
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |