Def. Belgrano vs CA Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2017 |
SUA
1 - 0
DEF
43%
28%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIE
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 0
DEF
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 1
STM
50%
29%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PLA
0 - 0
DEF
46%
29%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
ALM
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
STM
0 - 1
EST
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
PLA
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
FEN
0 - 0
EST
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
BAR
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |