Def. Belgrano vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SUA
2 - 1
DEF
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 2
COM
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
DEF
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 2
ATL
25%
28%
48%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 2
CCO
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 1
DAL
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
MOR
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 0
STM
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
5 - 1
BER
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
AND
1 - 1
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |