Def. Belgrano vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
35.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 2
DEF
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
COL
34%
30%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 1
DEF
35%
28%
37%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
ATL
21%
27%
51%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
DEF
47%
28%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
MER
2 - 2
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 1
MER
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
RIE
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
EST
3 - 1
MER
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
MER
1 - 2
ALM
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |