Def. Belgrano vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
ARM
6 - 0
DEF
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
DEF
5 - 1
STM
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
BRO
1 - 3
DEF
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 3
ALB
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 0
DEF
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
MER
1 - 1
ARM
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
STM
2 - 1
MER
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
MER
0 - 0
BRO
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 0
MER
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
MER
0 - 3
ITA
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |