Def. Belgrano vs Dep. Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SUA
1 - 1
DEF
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 0
ATL
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
FLA
0 - 0
DEF
30%
29%
42%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CAM
0 - 0
DEF
23%
27%
51%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 2
AND
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
ESP
2 - 0
MER
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ARM
1 - 2
ESP
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 1
STM
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 1
BRO
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 0
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |