Def. Belgrano vs Colegiales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
30.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
STM
1 - 0
DEF
45%
29%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 2
COM
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
VSC
0 - 2
DEF
34%
29%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 1
UAI
41%
29%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FEN
0 - 0
DEF
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
COL
0 - 0
TAL
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 2
COL
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
COL
0 - 1
SUA
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
COL
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
COL
2 - 0
SMG
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |