Def. Belgrano vs Colegiales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 1
DEF
35%
28%
37%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
ATL
21%
27%
51%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
DEF
47%
28%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
DEF
2 - 1
ESP
30%
29%
42%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
DEF
52%
27%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
COL
3 - 2
BAR
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 0
COL
60%
23%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
RIE
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
COL
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
ALM
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |