Def. Belgrano vs Colegiales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
26.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SUA
2 - 0
DEF
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
TEM
38%
29%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FEN
0 - 0
DEF
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
MER
34%
30%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
CHI
29%
29%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
COL
0 - 0
MOR
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
UAI
3 - 0
COL
52%
28%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
COL
0 - 2
EST
29%
30%
41%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
COL
52%
28%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
COL
0 - 2
ATL
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |