Def. Belgrano vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 1
DEF
31%
31%
39%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
RAF
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 1
DEF
35%
30%
35%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
BAR
46%
30%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
INS
0 - 2
DEF
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 2
STM
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 0
BRO
33%
30%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 0
SMA
38%
29%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 1
BRO
34%
29%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 3
BRO
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |