Def. Belgrano vs Brown Adrogué analysis

Def. Belgrano Brown Adrogué
65 ELO 64
-21.5% Tilt -25.8%
384º General ELO ranking 1438º
36º Country ELO ranking 71º
ELO win probability
46.2%
Def. Belgrano
29.7%
Draw
24.2%
Brown Adrogué

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
Def. Belgrano
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
24.2%
Win probability
Brown Adrogué
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Def. Belgrano
Brown Adrogué
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Def. Belgrano
Def. Belgrano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2021
GBR
Guillermo Brown
1 - 1
Def. Belgrano
DEF
31%
31%
39%
67 58 9 0
15 Aug. 2021
DEF
Def. Belgrano
2 - 0
Atletico Rafaela
RAF
42%
29%
29%
66 63 3 +1
08 Aug. 2021
IRV
Indep. Rivadavia
1 - 1
Def. Belgrano
DEF
35%
30%
35%
67 59 8 -1
31 Jul. 2021
DEF
Def. Belgrano
0 - 0
Barracas Central
BAR
46%
30%
25%
67 64 3 0
25 Jul. 2021
INS
Instituto
0 - 2
Def. Belgrano
DEF
44%
29%
27%
66 63 3 +1

Matches

Brown Adrogué
Brown Adrogué
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2021
BRO
Brown Adrogué
2 - 2
San Telmo
STM
50%
27%
23%
63 58 5 0
15 Aug. 2021
DAL
Villa Dálmine
1 - 0
Brown Adrogué
BRO
33%
30%
37%
64 59 5 -1
07 Aug. 2021
BRO
Brown Adrogué
1 - 0
San Martín San Juan
SMA
38%
29%
34%
63 66 3 +1
31 Jul. 2021
ALB
All Boys
1 - 1
Brown Adrogué
BRO
34%
29%
36%
64 57 7 -1
24 Jul. 2021
GBR
Guillermo Brown
0 - 3
Brown Adrogué
BRO
37%
30%
33%
63 58 5 +1