Def. Belgrano vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
DEF
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
2 - 1
FLA
50%
30%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
DEF
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
COM
39%
29%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 3
DEF
36%
29%
35%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BRO
0 - 0
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 3
BRO
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
BRO
3 - 0
RIE
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
BRO
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BRO
3 - 1
ALM
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |