Def. Belgrano vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
24.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
INS
0 - 2
DEF
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 3
DEF
35%
33%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 6
SUA
54%
28%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
DEF
35%
31%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 2
MOR
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 2
STM
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
DAL
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 3
BAR
58%
25%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRO
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 1
BAR
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |