Def. Belgrano vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
37.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
SUA
2 - 0
DEF
40%
30%
30%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 0
EST
28%
30%
42%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
SMG
0 - 0
DEF
35%
31%
34%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 1
ALM
54%
27%
20%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 1
DEF
42%
30%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
TAL
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 0
BAR
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SUA
0 - 1
BAR
33%
27%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
EST
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SMG
1 - 2
BAR
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |