Def. Belgrano vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 2
MOR
34%
31%
35%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
SUA
41%
30%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
EST
21%
30%
49%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
DEF
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
UAI
40%
30%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
5 - 4
RIE
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
BAR
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 0
ALM
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
UAI
1 - 0
BAR
35%
29%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |