Def. Belgrano vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
25.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 0
DEF
52%
28%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
ACA
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AND
1 - 2
DEF
56%
25%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
FLA
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
UAI
1 - 1
DEF
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
UAI
2 - 1
BAR
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ARM
2 - 2
BAR
58%
26%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAR
57%
27%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |