Def. Belgrano vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
24.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
ARM
2 - 0
DEF
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 2
LAM
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VSC
1 - 1
DEF
47%
28%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 1
SAR
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 2
DEF
35%
30%
36%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
TEM
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
BAR
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
SUA
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 0
BAR
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 0
BAR
85%
12%
4%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |