Def. Belgrano vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
28.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 1
DEF
35%
30%
35%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
BAR
46%
30%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
INS
0 - 2
DEF
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 3
DEF
35%
33%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 6
SUA
54%
28%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 2
STM
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 0
RAF
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 2
SMA
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 0
BRO
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 1
RAF
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |