Def. Belgrano vs Atlanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
51.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
DEF
47%
28%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
DEF
2 - 1
ESP
30%
29%
42%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
DEF
52%
27%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
ITA
36%
30%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
FEN
1 - 1
DEF
64%
22%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
BAR
43%
28%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
RIE
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
EST
2 - 2
ATL
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
ATL
81%
14%
4%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |