Def. Belgrano vs Atlanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
DEF
48%
28%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
COL
44%
30%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SUA
2 - 0
DEF
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
TEM
38%
29%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FEN
0 - 0
DEF
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOR
49%
29%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
UAI
1 - 2
ATL
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
EST
33%
31%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
ATL
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
COM
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |