Def. Belgrano vs Atlanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 2
CCO
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
DEF
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
VSC
41%
30%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
TEM
0 - 1
DEF
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 0
ARM
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
DAL
1 - 1
ATL
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
EST
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
STM
0 - 1
ATL
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
AND
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 2
ATL
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |