Def. Belgrano vs Atlanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 1
SAR
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
COL
0 - 0
DEF
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 2
CHI
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
ALM
3 - 1
DEF
68%
21%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 0
SUA
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
FLA
0 - 2
ATL
26%
30%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 1
TEM
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 1
ATL
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 1
MOR
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ARM
0 - 1
ATL
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |