Def. Belgrano vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
58.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
AGR
1 - 0
DEF
53%
28%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 1
DAL
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 0
DEF
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 2
PLA
31%
32%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALM
3 - 0
DEF
54%
28%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 0
ATL
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 0
AGR
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
DAL
1 - 3
ARS
29%
29%
42%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ARS
3 - 1
GIM
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
PLA
3 - 0
ARS
24%
28%
48%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |