Def. Belgrano vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
71.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ATT
0 - 1
DEF
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
VSC
1 - 0
DEF
42%
28%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
ACA
48%
30%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
DEF
56%
26%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 1
STM
52%
29%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 0
FLA
78%
16%
6%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 1
TAL
84%
13%
4%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 1
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
ARS
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 0
CEN
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |