Def. Belgrano vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
37.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 0
DEF
28%
28%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
FEN
40%
29%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
DEF
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
SUA
24%
28%
48%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
PLA
4 - 3
DEF
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 1
BAR
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
ALM
40%
27%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 0
RIE
57%
25%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
EST
3 - 2
ALM
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALM
40%
27%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |