Def. Belgrano vs Acassuso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
21.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
DEF
43%
30%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
ATL
22%
29%
50%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
DEF
55%
26%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
SUA
35%
30%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
RIE
4 - 1
DEF
42%
29%
30%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 1
ALM
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
STM
3 - 0
ACA
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 1
PLA
46%
28%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 1
ACA
50%
28%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 1
BAR
35%
30%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |