Def. Belgrano vs Acassuso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
30%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
21.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
DEF
56%
26%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 1
STM
52%
29%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 1
MOR
31%
31%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
DEF
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
FEN
34%
32%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 1
MOR
28%
29%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
ACA
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 0
FEN
29%
30%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 2
ACA
53%
27%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 3
COM
32%
29%
39%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |