Def. Belgrano vs Acassuso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
36.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
RIE
1 - 1
DEF
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
DEF
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
ALM
22%
27%
51%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
UAI
0 - 0
DEF
50%
27%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
MER
35%
29%
36%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 0
ACA
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 2
RIE
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
ACA
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 1
ALM
44%
27%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |