Def. Belgrano vs Acassuso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
35.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AND
1 - 2
DEF
56%
25%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
FLA
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
UAI
1 - 1
DEF
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 2
MOR
35%
31%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
UAI
0 - 0
DEF
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
ACA
2 - 0
MOR
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
UAI
1 - 1
ACA
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
FEN
1 - 3
ACA
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
EST
0 - 1
ACA
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ACA
0 - 2
ARM
30%
28%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |