Def. Belgrano vs Acassuso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 2
DEF
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
SUA
45%
28%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
DEF
55%
26%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
DEF
59%
25%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
TEM
0 - 1
DEF
44%
29%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 3
DAL
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
EST
3 - 1
ACA
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 0
STM
57%
24%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
AND
3 - 0
ACA
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 1
EST
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |