Def. Belgrano vs Acassuso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SUA
0 - 2
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 0
DEF
31%
31%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 0
SAR
59%
24%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 2
DEF
20%
29%
51%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 0
STM
69%
21%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 1
FLA
40%
29%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 2
ACA
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 0
ESP
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
STM
1 - 0
ACA
28%
29%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 2
ATL
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |