Def. Belgrano vs Acassuso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SUA
0 - 0
DEF
53%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
CCO
1 - 1
DEF
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
0 - 1
SAR
38%
27%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
VSC
0 - 2
DEF
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
0 - 0
ESP
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ACA
2 - 1
AND
31%
30%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 1
ACA
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 1
MOR
42%
30%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SUA
2 - 2
ACA
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ACA
0 - 1
SAR
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |