Def. Belgrano vs Acassuso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 3
ITA
39%
29%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2008 |
STM
1 - 1
DEF
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 1
BRO
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2008 |
TAL
3 - 0
DEF
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 1
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
SUA
1 - 2
ACA
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
ACA
1 - 0
FLA
50%
29%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
TEM
2 - 2
ACA
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 0
ESP
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
MOR
0 - 0
ACA
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |