Decic vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
3º
45
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DEC
0 - 0
BUD
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
IKD
0 - 0
DEC
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DEC
3 - 1
MOR
58%
23%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DEC
1 - 1
JEZ
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
JED
1 - 2
DEC
20%
27%
53%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PET
1 - 1
JED
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
3 - 3
PET
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PET
1 - 2
FKA
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IKD
1 - 2
PET
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PET
0 - 4
SUT
28%
28%
45%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |