Decic vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SUT
0 - 2
DEC
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
DEC
0 - 2
RUD
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
IKD
1 - 2
DEC
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
DEC
2 - 1
MOG
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 5
DEC
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LOV
3 - 1
MOR
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MLA
2 - 0
LOV
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LOV
1 - 2
BOK
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
LOV
2 - 0
MOR
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
BOK
1 - 1
LOV
32%
30%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |