Decic vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
27.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
MOG
1 - 0
DEC
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
DEC
2 - 1
ZET
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BUD
1 - 1
DEC
75%
17%
9%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
DEC
2 - 2
RUD
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
DEC
39%
30%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
LOV
2 - 1
GRB
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
LOV
2 - 1
KOM
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
MOG
1 - 0
LOV
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
LOV
1 - 0
ZET
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BUD
4 - 0
LOV
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |