Decic vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
47.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
DEC
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
DEC
0 - 1
RUD
24%
27%
48%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
BER
1 - 0
DEC
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
SUT
2 - 0
DEC
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BUD
2 - 1
DEC
71%
18%
10%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
GRB
0 - 0
SUT
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
MLA
1 - 2
GRB
42%
25%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
PET
0 - 2
GRB
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GRB
1 - 0
KOM
71%
19%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
GRB
4 - 1
BOK
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |