Decic vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
DEC
2 - 2
PET
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MOR
0 - 2
DEC
44%
29%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
DEC
1 - 0
BOK
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
PET
0 - 1
DEC
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FKA
1 - 0
DEC
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
OUL
2 - 2
JED
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
JEZ
2 - 2
OUL
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
OUL
2 - 1
PET
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
OUL
6 - 2
MOR
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
OUL
0 - 1
BOK
38%
28%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |