Decic vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SUT
1 - 1
DEC
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BUD
3 - 1
DEC
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
MLJ
0 - 0
DEC
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
DEC
1 - 0
PET
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
DEC
4 - 0
JED
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
GRB
1 - 0
FKA
16%
22%
62%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 1
JED
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 1
JEZ
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
OUL
0 - 2
FKA
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FKA
4 - 0
MOR
41%
27%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |