Decic vs Budućnost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
3º
70
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
IKD
1 - 3
DEC
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
DEC
1 - 1
MOR
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DEC
1 - 1
JEZ
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JED
0 - 0
DEC
29%
29%
43%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 0
FKA
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BUD
4 - 4
PET
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BUD
3 - 0
IKD
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BUD
2 - 0
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JEZ
1 - 2
BUD
20%
26%
54%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BUD
4 - 0
JED
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |