Debreceni VSC II vs FC Hatvan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
16º
9º
30
5º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
95% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
79% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
77.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
77.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Debreceni VSC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
DEB
1 - 2
KAR
59%
19%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
DEB
1 - 2
TIS
73%
16%
12%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
DEB
1 - 2
SFC
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DEA
3 - 0
DEB
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
DEB
2 - 0
KMG
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
FC Hatvan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GES
0 - 5
FCH
15%
18%
68%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 0
SAL
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BUD
4 - 3
FCH
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
FCH
1 - 2
BDP
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
FCH
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |