De Graafschap U21 vs Willem II U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
23%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
ALK
3 - 1
GRA
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 2
SPA
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
RKC
0 - 1
GRA
44%
23%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
GRA
5 - 3
ALM
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 3
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
3 - 0
WIL
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
WIL
4 - 0
NAC
53%
22%
24%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 1
ROD
60%
21%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 1
UTR
56%
22%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
ALK
1 - 1
WIL
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |