De Graafschap U21 vs NEC Nijmegen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
TWE
6 - 1
GRA
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 2
UTR
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
PSV
3 - 1
GRA
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
GRA
0 - 2
NAC
7%
14%
80%
|
27 | 77 | 50 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
ZWO
15%
20%
65%
|
26 | 66 | 40 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 5
JON
13%
21%
67%
|
18 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
SPA
7 - 1
NEC
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 2
HER
17%
22%
61%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -2 |