De Graafschap U21 vs Jong Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
SPA
4 - 3
GRA
51%
22%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
HER
23%
23%
55%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 0
GRA
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 1
GRO
19%
22%
59%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
ADO
1 - 2
GRA
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
JON
0 - 1
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
JON
4 - 0
SPA
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
JON
24%
24%
53%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
JON
6 - 0
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
3 - 2
JON
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |