De Graafschap U21 vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
BVO
13%
18%
70%
|
25 | 69 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
ZWO
1 - 2
BVV
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
EXC
3 - 0
ZWO
45%
25%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
0 - 0
ZWO
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
ZWO
2 - 1
MVV
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 2
ZWO
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |